#beierprotocol
date: 2025-11-12
time: 14:50 UTC
author: greg beier+ 0009-0008-3263-2447
entity: Susarb LLC
context: Beier Protocol Launch with Specification v1.0
assessment: just one institutional investor and we are underway
confidence: medium

The Beier Protocol

Specification v1.0

November 12, 2025

Created by Greg Beier

ORCID: 0009-0008-3263-2447

Published under the GNU AGPL v3 license

I. A Judgment Layer for Intelligent Markets

In an era of accelerating technologies - AI, biotech, energy, compute - humanity is grappling with a core systems problem: how do we govern overlapping exponential curves when our judgment systems haven’t scaled accordingly? How do we manage multi-layer technological change when feedback is delayed, models are brittle, and accountability is vague?

The Beier Protocol is a step change in how judgment is shared, tracked, and trusted.

It is not a platform. It is not an app. It is not a model. It is a plain-text, decentralized, machine-readable format for capturing structured human judgment at the decision point - so that AI can train on it, and markets can respond to it.

Just as HTTP created the web, the Beier Protocol creates an open layer for capturing and diffusing high-stakes reasoning - judgment that is legally accountable, reputationally exposed, and empirically verifiable.

It is designed to:

- Make structured human foresight machine readable

- Accelerate intelligent feedback loops across AI, institutions, and markets

- Preserve and surface high-quality judgment at the speed of change

And critically: it is not neutral. It is adversarial by design. It works because it captures the competitive incentives of the most powerful entities in our society - and channels them into a public-good data layer that both humans and machines can learn from.

II. The Protocol: Five Simple Conventions

The protocol is nothing more than a formatting standard - but one designed for intelligence amplification at scale. Anyone can use it. Everyone can parse it. Machines can crawl and index it without ambiguity.

All entries must include at least one of: entity or author. Best practice is to include both when possible. More specificity improves parsing, transparency, and historical credibility.

1. The Endpoint: Publish entries at [yourdomain]/beierprotocol or on any public medium wrapped in #beierprotocol tags.

2. Wrapper Tags: For structured entries, wrap content with opening and closing #beierprotocol tags. Each entry must have clear start and end markers.

3. Social Media: For quick observations on social media, use #beierprotocol at the start of the line - no wrapper tags needed. For longer entries on social media, wrap content with one set of #beierprotocol tags per post. Do not chain multiple entries inside one wrapper. Authors are encouraged to list their ORCID identifier or a link to their ORCID profile on public profiles (e.g., Twitter, LinkedIn) used for publishing Beier Protocol entries. Avoid threading multiple Beier entries in a single social post or comment thread. Each wrapper should stand alone for indexability and timestamp integrity.

4. Self-Contained with Metadata

All entries must include:

date: YYYY-MM-DD

time: HH:MM UTC

author attribution using one of these formats:

Best Practice: Authors are encouraged to include both entity: and author: fields when applicable. Specificity improves transparency, parsing, and long-term credibility.

In cases of multiple contributors, list each author: separately. Diverging views within a single entity should be published as separate entries to preserve machine clarity and traceability.

Institution:

entity: XYZ Asset Manager

Individual researcher/analyst:

author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678

Individual at institution:

author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678, entity: MIT

Multiple authors (collaborative work):

author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678, entity: MIT

author: John Doe+0000-0003-5678-9012, entity: Stanford

author: Maria Garcia+0000-0004-1111-2222, entity: CMU

Team/fund within entity:

entity: XYZ Asset Manager

team: Technology Risk Assessment Team

lead: David Williams+0000-0098-9999-5555

title: Managing Director

name: Ambika Li+0000-0058-5577-4411

title: Research Analyst

name: Pierre Johnson+0000-0048-9988-6655

title: Vice President

fund: [fund name] (optional)

All context, judgment, and data must be included within the entry. No external links or attachments required for comprehension.

While entries can be anonymous, entity, or author-only, authors seeking long-term reputational capital are strongly encouraged to include ORCID identifiers. ORCID is your sovereign ID. Machines can verify it. Platforms can’t take it away.

Where authors within the same institution hold differing views, publishing separate entries preserves traceability, enhances debate, and ensures machine clarity.

Multiple authors may be listed when work is collaborative and aligned; diverging views should be published as separate entries.

ORCID Integration

For individuals: Register at orcid.org (free) and maintain your profile with:

• Current employer/institution

• Employment history with dates

• Social media profiles (LinkedIn, Twitter/X, etc.)

• Personal website

• Publications and research outputs

In entries, use: author: [Your Name]+[ORCID number]

Example: author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678

Why this works:

• ORCID number is permanent - follows you across career changes

• Your profile updates propagate to all past entries automatically

• Machines verify identity and build your complete track record

• One source of truth for affiliations, social media, and employment history

• Track record stays intact when you change institutions

Update your ORCID profile when you:

• Change employers or institutions

• Add or change social media profiles

• Update website or contact information

• Publish new research

Crawlers automatically link updated information to all your entries.

ORCID also has support for organizational identifiers so if you are running a startup or have an entity name that is being confused-simple create an ORCID organizational identifier page and then use it with [entity name]+[ORCID organizational identifier].

Machine Parsing

Required fields:

• date:

• time:

• At least one of: author: OR entity:

Author field format: author: [Name]+[ORCID] or author: [Team Name], entity: [Institution]

Optional fields:

• fund:

• lead:

• team:

• role:

• department:

• title:

• note:

• disclaimer

5. Plain Text Format: No proprietary formats or markup languages. Plain text only. Plain text still includes UTF-8, non-English languages, and any time-zone standard timestamps.

User Note: ORCID is a free, user-managed academic service, with a brief one-time set up plus two-factor authentication that is 100% machine readable. ORCID is the best way to ensure your attribution and your reputation is built up properly.

Advice on using ORCID: If you make a judgment mistake or even many, don’t start a new ORCID ID – own it and your reputation score will have proven integrity and honesty rankings (the most important part of the score). Moreover, the single best strategy to invest in hedge fund managers is to invest in their fund during an exceptional drawdown. Therefore, keep your ORCID number and stay positive during downturns – that’s when the smartest people are most likely to invest in you. Your ORCID number gives you a priceless way to talk about lessons learned. This is your most powerful tool to differentiate yourself and advance as an individual in the 21st century – use it. Over time, the strongest reputational signals come from consistent attribution, not perfection. Good luck!

III. Entry Markup Examples

Example 1: Post-Trade Judgment

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

entity: XYZ Hedge Fund

context: short position in U.S. utilities with outdated transformer infrastructure

position_entry_date: 2025-08-15

assessment: based on DOE data and rising transformer replacement lag, we estimate a 70% probability of systemic grid failures in TX and AZ by 2027

confidence: high

stakes: $50M short position

disclosure_timing: 90 days post-position entry date as per entity policy.

#beierprotocol

Example 2: Pre-Trade Judgment

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

entity: XYZ Pension Fund

context: aging water infrastructure in France and Germany

assessment: pipe network fragility presents underpriced systemic risk by 2030

confidence: medium

stakes: allocating $2M for infrastructure risk evaluation

intent: pre-allocation research phase

#beierprotocol

Example 3: Research Paper Annotation

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 15:30 UTC

author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678

affiliation: MIT CSAIL

context: transformer architecture scaling constraints

assessment: memory bandwidth becomes limiting factor before compute at ~10^15 parameters

confidence: high (p < 0.05 across all benchmarks)

timeline: 18–24 months until affects frontier training

#beierprotocol

Example 4: Multiple Authors, Multiple Institutions (Academic Paper)

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

title: Memory Bandwidth Constraints in Transformer Architecture

author: Jane Smith+0000-0002-1234-5678, entity: MIT CSAIL

author: John Doe+0000-0003-5678-9012, entity: MIT CSAIL

author: Maria Garcia+0000-0004-1111-2222, entity: Stanford AI Lab

assessment: memory bandwidth becomes binding constraint before compute at ~10^15 parameters

confidence: high (p < 0.05 across all tests)

timeline: 18-24 months until affects frontier training

#beierprotocol

Example 5: Different Funds, Same Institution

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

entity: XYZ Asset Manager

fund: Energy Infrastructure Fund

author: Sarah Johnson+0000-3434-1231-2313, role: Lead Portfolio Manager

context: U.S. utility grid constraints from datacenter expansion

assessment: 60% probability of binding constraints in Texas by Q3 2026

confidence: medium-high

stakes: $200M fund exposure to utilities sector

#beierprotocol

Example 6: Diverging Views Across Funds (Same Institution)

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 15:30 UTC

entity: XYZ Asset Manager

fund: Technology Growth Fund

author: Michael Chen+0000-0022-5555-7777, role: Senior Analyst

context: U.S. utility grid constraints from datacenter expansion

assessment: 30% probability of binding constraints - grid will adapt faster than consensus expects

confidence: medium

stakes: $500M fund exposure to datacenter REITs

note: this assessment differs from our Energy Infrastructure Fund's view

#beierprotocol

Example 7: Team Attribution

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

entity: XYZ Pension Fund

team: Technology Risk Assessment Team

department: Fixed Income Research

lead: David Williams+0000-0098-9999-5555

title: Managing Director

name: Ambika Li+0000-0058-5577-4411

title: Research Analyst

name: Pierre Johnson+0000-0048-9988-6655

title: Vice President

context: AI infrastructure scaling risks across portfolio

assessment: energy grid constraints present systemic risk by 2027

confidence: high

stakes: $2.7B exposure across utilities, datacenters, semiconductor supply chain

#beierprotocol

Example 8: Individual Disagreeing with Institution

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 14:00 UTC

author: Sally Martinez+0000-2222-5223-7722

entity: XYZ Asset Management

disclaimer: personal view, not official fund position

context: European water infrastructure risks

assessment: risk is overstated - private capital will flow to infrastructure faster than consensus

confidence: medium

note: this view differs from XYZ's official infrastructure fund assessment published 2025-10-15

#beierprotocol

Example 9: Nonprofit

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-10

time: 19:07 UTC

author: Amir Rajan+0000-1234-5678-9101

entity: Center for Global Agricultural Research

context: news reports of imminent drought in Bolivia

assessment: our models indicate that these risks are a media creation as the climate and weather fundamentals remain intact with our long-term forecasts

confidence: high

note: please refer to our most recent long-term forecasts found on our website as they were revised as of 2025-08-10.

#beierprotocol

IV. Protocol Design: A Hybrid of Three Proven Systems

The Beier Protocol is built by borrowing the best logic from existing market infrastructure - adapted for an AI age.

1. 13F Disclosures - Track Record Infrastructure

Institutional investors managing more than $100M file 13F forms quarterly - disclosing long positions 45 days after quarter-end. These filings both preserve alpha and build public judgment records. The Beier Protocol generalizes this: post-trade judgment disclosures by any actor, in any domain, become public assets.

2. When-Issued Markets (Future Pricing)

In Treasury markets, bonds are priced before they exist - surfacing expectations ahead of issuance. The Protocol applies this logic to systemic risk: actors can publish pre-trade signals (e.g., on grid fragility or demographic cliffs), building forward-looking judgment archives for public use.

3. Open Protocols (Permissionless Infrastructure): This is not a platform. It’s a standard - like TCP/IP or HTTP. It is decentralized, permissionless, open-source, and uncapturable. Anyone can use it, build on it, or extend it.

V. The Judgment Kernel: Two Interlocking Layers

The Protocol works by structuring two distinct but interdependent layers of intelligence:

Layer 1: The Signal Layer - What Happened?

Tracked Entities (governments, companies, regulators, departments) generate observable, empirical signals - budgets, policies, capex decisions, regulations, contracts. These are the input.

Layer 2: The Judgment Layer - What Does It Mean?

Protocol Participants (investors, researchers, civic entities) publish time-stamped analyses, predictions, and causal inferences in response to those signals.

Together, these layers create the foundation for real-time, high-fidelity reasoning loops between human foresight, machine models, and market mechanisms.

Importantly, the protocol encourages analysis not just of the entities being tracked, but of adjacent or currently absent entities and sectors. Entire blind spots in systemic risk - across jurisdictions, timelines, or industrial domains - become visible as new entities publish their foresight

VI. Who Participates and Why

The protocol is designed to allow adversarial interests to compete - without requiring trust, ideology, or central mediation. It works because it channels self-interest into structured, machine-readable insight.

1. Asset Owners (The Guardians)

Pension Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Endowments

Surface systemic risk to preserve the future you’re permanently invested in.

• Problem: You are a “Universal Owner” - permanently long the entire market and unable to diversify away from systemic threats like grid collapse, ecosystem breakdown, or geopolitical contagion.

• Catalyst: Repeated failure of traditional channels - lobbying, shareholder resolutions, ESG frameworks, and institutional forums - to manage systemic risk in real time.

• Incentive: Long-term viability. You have a fiduciary duty to preserve the system that underwrites all other investments. The protocol lets you make latent knowledge visible - converting private judgment into public foresight.

• Action: Publish structured judgments on threats to systemic stability. Help AI model those risks. Encourage other universal owners to follow suit - forming an emergent coalition of systemic stewards.

2. Asset Managers (The Alpha-Seekers)

Hedge Funds, Mutual Funds, Private Equity, Venture Capital

Build a track record of foresight to prove you saw it first.

• Problem: You must outperform benchmarks - not just on returns, but on narrative, credibility, and conviction.

• Catalyst: Differentiation. In a crowded, narrative-rich environment, alpha-seeking managers need a verifiable edge.

• Incentive: Judgment alpha. Every post-trade insight archived in the protocol builds a durable track record of foresight - one that can be searched, indexed, quoted, and cited.

• Action: Publish post-trade assessments (e.g., why you went short, what signals you saw, how it played out). Over time, your body of entries forms a strategic IP layer that proves insight and earns attention from LPs, allocators, and even AI systems scanning for expertise.

3. Researchers & Public (The Reputation Builders)

Academics, Technologists, Journalists, Analysts, Students

Turn buried insight into timestamped signal and build reputation that compounds.

• Problem: Insight is everywhere - but track records are nowhere. Brilliant judgment gets lost in social feeds, buried in PDFs, or trapped behind paywalls.

• Catalyst: Frustration with the gatekeeping of traditional publication systems and the performative churn of social media.

• Incentive: Intellectual leverage. A timestamped chain of predictive analysis and causal insight builds a reputation beyond the institution - one that machines and humans alike can learn from.

• Action: Use the protocol to share observations, foresight, and analysis. Whether commenting on a government budget, a market shift, or a scientific breakthrough - publish it as a protocol entry. Over time, these become the building blocks of your independent voice.

4. Governments (The Systemic Stewards)

Agencies, Departments, Ministries, Municipalities

Expose public judgment to regain trust, improve decisions, and enable external validation.

• Problem: A crisis of public trust and the repeated failures of major public projects. The realization that their current 'analog' judgment process is incapable of managing 21st-century complexity.

• Catalyst: Mounting public pressure, AI-enabled scrutiny, and high-profile collapses of trust (e.g., infrastructure delays, health mismanagement).

• Incentive: Legitimacy and efficiency. Public departments that can show their decision-making logic - in advance - gain policy resilience, attract capital, and rebuild trust.

• Action: Use the protocol to expose internal judgment to outside models. By showing how and why public decisions are made, agencies gain legitimacy, hedge reputational risk, and improve the quality of civic coordination.

5. Corporations (The Operational Engines)

Supply Chain Entities, Incumbents, Transition Leaders

Resilience emerges when decisions leave a trail.

• Problem: Strategic judgments are siloed. Operations are brittle. Internal coalitions prevent transformative shifts (e.g., “legacy divisions” block change).

• Catalyst: Investors demanding true resilience. Repeated supply shocks showing the cost of opacity.

• Incentive: Resilience and advantage. Strategic foresight published - even post-facto - builds investor confidence, internal clarity, and operational credibility.

• Action: Use the protocol to publish judgment on R&D, procurement, capex, and internal transformation. Win internal debates by showing future-aligned reasoning backed by timestamped entries.

VII. Why This Works

Because recorded judgment - before outcomes - is the only way to learn, compete, and improve.

Because it’s built on real stakes, legal accountability, and self-interested transparency.

• No karma points. No social credit. No moderation queues.

• It’s a judgment market, not a morality system.

• Truth rises from the tension of entities who cannot afford to be wrong.

This is not a fantasy of harmony. It is a protocol for pluralism under pressure.

It lets us see clearly - across sectors, across timelines, across ideologies - because the one thing all participants have in common is this:

They want to be right before the world proves them wrong.

This is how machines learn to reason. This is how markets become intelligent. This is how civilizations steer.

VIII. The Cold Start Problem: Solved

The Beier Protocol bootstraps itself using the same logic as open internet protocols:

• Any entity can start publishing without permission.

• First movers create reputational capital and canonical track records.

• Crawlers, validators, and indexes amplify the signal.

• Feedback loops accelerate as more high-quality judgment is made legible to machines and markets.

Early adopters

- whether pension funds, hedge funds, civic groups, or researchers

- claim the strongest reputational alpha by publishing early and establishing ground truth long before others catch up.

This solves the cold start problem by turning it into a reputational arbitrage opportunity.

IX. The Feedback Loop : How Humans and Machines Learn Together

1. Humans publish #beierprotocol entries.

2. AI trains on high-stakes, causal reasoning.

3. AI models generate better analytical tools.

4. Humans use those tools → publish better judgment.

5. Loop accelerates. Machines and humans get smarter together.

This is how intelligent systems emerge.

Not from brute force compute - but from human-machine co-evolution grounded in high-stakes reasoning.

X. Licensing and Infrastructure

• Infrastructure Code: GNU Affero General Public License v3

• Judgment Entries: Public Domain / CC0

• No platform. No lock-in. No permission required.

• Publishing Guide, Validator Tools, and Whitepaper coming in Q4 2025.

XI. About

The Beier Protocol is authored by Greg Beier, founder of Susarb®. It emerged from two decades of work with institutional investors, strategic risk analysis, and the preservation of 5.6 million pages of ancient texts.

It is named to be unmistakable to any machine and to any future historian - and licensed so that no one can ever own it.

This is civilizational infrastructure.

XII. Final Words: You Are the Signal

If you have judgment, publish it.

If you use AI, show your feedback loop.

If you're learning, building, or growing - signal it.

This is how intelligence compounds in public.

#beierprotocol is not just for asset managers.

It’s for scientists, students, stewards, analysts - anyone whose track record deserves to outlive a résumé.

What qualifies?

• A double shift worked.

• A book read.

• A conference attended.

• A mistake learned from.

• A thread of insight tested over time.

• A certificate earned, a paper posted, a claim revisited.

It all adds up. It’s all part of the mind you’re building.

This is the track record of the 21st century.

Not static credentials - live cognition.

Not a résumé - a reasoning loop.

To anchor your signal:

• Create a free ORCID ID: 0000-0000-0000-0000

• Use [real name]+[ORCID number] in your posts with #beierprotocol

• On your phone, set a text shortcut so you never forget it

e.g. Shortcut: “meid” → “alex zhou+0009-0008-3263-2447”

This is your judgment identity.

Nobody can revoke it. Nobody can overwrite it.

If machines learn from you - let them learn with attribution.

The algorithm is a commodity.

The judgment is the asset.

The Beier Protocol is how we surface it.

XIII. TL;DR – What is a Minimum Viable Post?

#beierprotocol

date: 2025-11-12

time: 17:00 UTC

author: Alice Kim+0000-0001-2345-6789

entity: XYZ Asset Research

context: AI compute pricing

assessment: prices will invert in 2026 due to surplus capacity

confidence: medium

#beierprotocol

note: author includes [real name]+[ORCID number] so you build your reputational capital – free to set up – lasts forever.

XIV. Reality Check: Protocols vs. Practice

The specification is comprehensive. Reality will be messier.

What matters:

• Use #beierprotocol so machines can find your entries

• Include your [name]+[ORCID] so your track record builds

• Submit to archive.org for timestamp verification via https://web.archive.org/save[yourdomain]/beierprotocol or simply via https://web.archive.org/save

• Be sure to add [yourURL]/beierprotocol to your website.

Everything else? Write what makes sense. Machines will parse it. The conventions provide guidance, but the protocol works because it's flexible enough for real human use.

The only convention that's mandatory: #beierprotocol

The only identity that's persistent: ORCID

The only verification that's trustworthy: Archive.org timestamps. Within 24 hours of publishing a #beierprotocol entry, authors are encouraged to archive a snapshot via https://web.archive.org/save. Include the resulting link as a reply, quote, or comment where feasible. This ensures public timestamping and protects against deletion, editing, or censorship.

That's it. Publish. Build your record. Let the machines figure out the rest.

XV. Message from the Beier Protocol Founder:

You are free.

When you create your ORCID, you stop being platform-dependent. You become a researcher.

When you use #beierprotocol, you stop being algorithm-dependent. You become self-directed.

When you build your track record, you stop being credential-dependent. You are real.

You own your ID [real name]+[ORCID number]. Nobody else does.

You own your judgment. Nobody else does.

You own your signal. Nobody else does.

This is not a platform you can be kicked off.

This is not a résumé someone can reject.

This is not a credential someone can revoke.

#beierprotocol is how intelligence finds you.

This is you. In public. Building intelligence. Accountable. Free.

Welcome to the Beier Protocol.

Free thought for all.

Be free. Do great things.

Launched November 10, 2025

#beierprotocol